01Model
Build the economic model
A concentrated market can behave competitively when entry is credible, rapid and reversible with low sunk costs. Potential competition can discipline price and efficiency.
For contestable markets, state the relationship between contestable market and the relevant agents, then identify the ceteris-paribus conditions. The model is a disciplined simplification, not a complete description of reality.
- Define the central variables precisely.
- Identify the agents making decisions.
- State what is held constant and why that matters.
02Evidence
Apply evidence and data
A route market has two incumbents but leasing makes aircraft capacity available to a potential entrant.
Application in contestable markets means using scale, direction, timing and source to alter the argument. Explain how the evidence changes the mechanism instead of merely naming the context or copying a figure.
- Check units, dates and whether values are nominal or real.
- Separate correlation from a supported causal inference.
- Identify winners, losers and the appropriate counterfactual.
03Analyse
Develop the mechanism
Lower sunk barriers → threat of entry rises → incumbent limits price or improves efficiency → supernormal profit and consumer outcomes change.
Carry this contestable markets chain far enough to answer the question: identify the agent's response, the resulting market or macroeconomic change and why the outcome matters.
- Explain each arrow in the chain.
- Use the diagram or calculation in the written analysis.
- Distinguish short-run adjustment from longer-run response.
04Evaluate
Evaluate assumptions and magnitude
Brand loyalty, slots, network effects, predatory response and imperfect information can make formal entry possible but not credible.
Evaluation of contestable markets should change confidence in the result. Test elasticity, time lags, scale, incentives, distribution and unintended effects rather than adding a generic “however”.
- Which assumption is most fragile?
- Would a different elasticity reverse or only weaken the result?
- What evidence could change the judgement?
05Judge
Reach an informed judgement
For contestable markets, choose the argument with the greatest contextual importance and explain why it outweighs the alternative. State the conditions under which it holds rather than repeating the introduction.
The opportunity cost and distributional effect of contestable market matter. Political preferences may affect objectives, but the exam judgement must rest on transparent assumptions and evidence rather than ideology.
- Answer the exact command and scope.
- Rank the decisive factors.
- State a condition, timeframe and possible reason to revise the conclusion.
From theory to a testable claim
A concentrated market can behave competitively when entry is credible, rapid and reversible with low sunk costs. Potential competition can discipline price and efficiency.
Applied taskA route market has two incumbents but leasing makes aircraft capacity available to a potential entrant.
Causal chain
Lower sunk barriers → threat of entry rises → incumbent limits price or improves efficiency → supernormal profit and consumer outcomes change.
Applied taskRewrite the contestable markets chain with one piece of numerical or contextual evidence at the link where it changes the expected magnitude.
Evaluation that does work
Brand loyalty, slots, network effects, predatory response and imperfect information can make formal entry possible but not credible.
Applied taskExplain whether this consideration weakens, delays, redistributes or reverses the predicted contestable markets outcome.